S&P 500 Rallies As U.S. Dollar Pulls Back Towards Weekly Lows

Key Insights
The strong pullback in the U.S. dollar provided significant support to stocks.
Treasury yields have pulled back after touching new highs, which served as an additional positive catalyst for S&P 500.
A move above 3730 will push S&P 500 towards the resistance level at 3760.
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Pfizer Rallies After Announcing A Huge Price Hike For Its COVID-19 Vaccines
S&P 500 is currently trying to settle above 3730 as traders’ appetite for risk is growing. The U.S. dollar has recently gained strong downside momentum as the BoJ intervened to stop the rally in USD/JPY. Weaker U.S. dollar is bullish for stocks as it increases profits of multinational companies and makes U.S. equities cheaper for foreign investors.

The leading oil services company Schlumberger is up by 9% after beating analyst estimates on both earnings and revenue. Schlumberger’s peers Baker Hughes and Halliburton have also enjoyed strong support today.

Vaccine makers Pfizer and Moderna gained strong upside momentum after Pfizer announced that it will raise the price of its coronavirus vaccine to $110 – $130 per shot.

Biggest losers today include Verizon and Twitter. Verizon is down by 5% despite beating analyst estimates on both earnings and revenue. Subscriber numbers missed estimates, and traders pushed the stock to multi-year lows.

Twitter stock moved towards the $50 level as the U.S. may conduct a security review of Musk’s purchase of the company.

From a big picture point of view, today’s rebound is broad, and most market segments are moving higher. Treasury yields have started to move lower after testing new highs, providing additional support to S&P 500. It looks that some traders are ready to bet that Fed will be less hawkish than previously expected.

S&P 500 Tests Resistance At 3730

S&P 500 has recently managed to get above the 20 EMA and is trying to settle above the resistance at 3730. RSI is in the moderate territory, and there is plenty of room to gain additional upside momentum in case the right catalysts emerge.

If S&P 500 manages to settle above 3730, it will head towards the next resistance level at 3760. A successful test of this level will push S&P 500 towards the next resistance at October highs at 3805. The 50 EMA is located in the nearby, so S&P 500 will likely face strong resistance above the 3800 level.

On the support side, the previous resistance at 3700 will likely serve as the first support level for S&P 500. In case S&P 500 declines below this level, it will move towards the next support level at 3675. A move below 3675 will push S&P 500 towards the support at 3640.

The Right Mindset For Owning An Online Business

Online business like any other business requires your dedicated time and efforts. As most of the things online will be unknown to the beginners, they should put more time in learning and implementing the things. There will be a lot of experimenting in the beginning phases to find out the right mix of business tasks and strategies which can be done to achieve the goals set for short term as well as long term.Most of the people who start their online business fall for the trap of quick and easy money. The four magically words have been used time and again by scrupulous marketers successfully to make people purchase their products. Although internet is known to make millionaires in the shortest period of time, there is no easy money in the online world. There is a lot of hard work put behind getting the things done. This part of the business is never told by any marketer to the people. The people are usually shown the success which they have achieved after implementing a particular strategy.A person should have a proper business mindset and not fall for any ‘get rich quick’ scheme which asks him to shed his hard earned money. He has to first decide the route he is going to take towards building his online business and stick to it no matter whether he finds success in the beginning or not. Most of the proven business models have a moderate gestation period. This is the period where you will be working but you cannot see any tangible results. Most of the beginners will stop at this phase and not continue. Only those who continue will see results and will achieve their business goals.It is in the best interest of any person who is beginning online to be wary about the business models which will reap benefits within a very short period. Although some may be true to some extent, but, when there are big changes in the online community the income source will dry up very quickly and leave you stranded in your path to financial freedom. Therefore, the first and foremost thing to do while building your online business is to see what the other successful online business owners are doing and follow their path.Most of the beginners think that in order to be successful online they have to do something novel and be in the limelight. But, if we consider the cases of successful people, most of them have followed what their mentors or other veterans in the industry have been doing. When you start seeing results you can then develop your own system and be a pioneer in the industry. Until then following others and reaping the benefits is a sure-fire way to earning money online.Like any other business, even the online business has customers who have to be taken care of. Although there is no physical interaction between the buyers and sellers, the online world does have a very established system through which transactions take place. To be successful online, you have to see that there is a constant flow of customers to your site and a system to capture their details to contact them again for future promotions or offers.Many online marketers refer the customers to a site and earn commission on the purchases made by them. This will require a consistent effort on part of the marketer to bring the customer every time to the site. He might have chosen various traffic generation strategies, but in the end if the customer doesn’t buy on that site he will lose his customer forever. Hence, it is prudent to make the customer leave some of his details like email address and name on the site so that you can contact him again in the future without any efforts to generate traffic.Most of the people think that an online business gives you the freedom to travel or be at home and work at any time you want. Although this is true to a certain extent, it does require your dedicated time to get things rolling. Even if you are travelling you will have to spare some hours each day to do the tasks required for your business. The only benefit of such a kind of business is you can fulfill all your desires while you are young and also earn money by doing business. Moreover, you can scale the online business and have multiple income sources bringing cash for you simultaneously. This alone should fuel your enthusiasm for working hard in the beginning so that you can earn easy money in the coming years.

SPDN: An Inexpensive Way To Profit When The S&P 500 Falls

Summary
SPDN is not the largest or oldest way to short the S&P 500, but it’s a solid choice.
This ETF uses a variety of financial instruments to target a return opposite that of the S&P 500 Index.
SPDN’s 0.49% Expense Ratio is nearly half that of the larger, longer-tenured -1x Inverse S&P 500 ETF.
Details aside, the potential continuation of the equity bear market makes single-inverse ETFs an investment segment investor should be familiar with.
We rate SPDN a Strong Buy because we believe the risks of a continued bear market greatly outweigh the possibility of a quick return to a bull market.
Put a gear stick into R position, (Reverse).
Birdlkportfolio

By Rob Isbitts

Summary
The S&P 500 is in a bear market, and we don’t see a quick-fix. Many investors assume the only way to navigate a potentially long-term bear market is to hide in cash, day-trade or “just hang in there” while the bear takes their retirement nest egg.

The Direxion Daily S&P 500® Bear 1X ETF (NYSEARCA:SPDN) is one of a class of single-inverse ETFs that allow investors to profit from down moves in the stock market.

SPDN is an unleveraged, liquid, low-cost way to either try to hedge an equity portfolio, profit from a decline in the S&P 500, or both. We rate it a Strong Buy, given our concern about the intermediate-term outlook for the global equity market.

Strategy
SPDN keeps it simple. If the S&P 500 goes up by X%, it should go down by X%. The opposite is also expected.

Proprietary ETF Grades
Offense/Defense: Defense

Segment: Inverse Equity

Sub-Segment: Inverse S&P 500

Correlation (vs. S&P 500): Very High (inverse)

Expected Volatility (vs. S&P 500): Similar (but opposite)

Holding Analysis
SPDN does not rely on shorting individual stocks in the S&P 500. Instead, the managers typically use a combination of futures, swaps and other derivative instruments to create a portfolio that consistently aims to deliver the opposite of what the S&P 500 does.

Strengths
SPDN is a fairly “no-frills” way to do what many investors probably wished they could do during the first 9 months of 2022 and in past bear markets: find something that goes up when the “market” goes down. After all, bonds are not the answer they used to be, commodities like gold have, shall we say, lost their luster. And moving to cash creates the issue of making two correct timing decisions, when to get in and when to get out. SPDN and its single-inverse ETF brethren offer a liquid tool to use in a variety of ways, depending on what a particular investor wants to achieve.

Weaknesses
The weakness of any inverse ETF is that it does the opposite of what the market does, when the market goes up. So, even in bear markets when the broader market trend is down, sharp bear market rallies (or any rallies for that matter) in the S&P 500 will cause SPDN to drop as much as the market goes up.

Opportunities
While inverse ETFs have a reputation in some circles as nothing more than day-trading vehicles, our own experience with them is, pardon the pun, exactly the opposite! We encourage investors to try to better-understand single inverse ETFs like SPDN. While traders tend to gravitate to leveraged inverse ETFs (which actually are day-trading tools), we believe that in an extended bear market, SPDN and its ilk could be a game-saver for many portfolios.

Threats
SPDN and most other single inverse ETFs are vulnerable to a sustained rise in the price of the index it aims to deliver the inverse of. But that threat of loss in a rising market means that when an investor considers SPDN, they should also have a game plan for how and when they will deploy this unique portfolio weapon.

Proprietary Technical Ratings
Short-Term Rating (next 3 months): Strong Buy

Long-Term Rating (next 12 months): Buy

Conclusions
ETF Quality Opinion
SPDN does what it aims to do, and has done so for over 6 years now. For a while, it was largely-ignored, given the existence of a similar ETF that has been around much longer. But the more tenured SPDN has become, the more attractive it looks as an alternative.

ETF Investment Opinion

SPDN is rated Strong Buy because the S&P 500 continues to look as vulnerable to further decline. And, while the market bottomed in mid-June, rallied, then waffled since that time, our proprietary macro market indicators all point to much greater risk of a major decline from this level than a fast return to bull market glory. Thus, SPDN is at best a way to exploit and attack the bear, and at worst a hedge on an otherwise equity-laden portfolio.